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Next Dates: - Introduction to QuantLib Development with Luigi Ballabio, September 2 - 4, 2013 - £1700

 

More About Spurious Regressions

Wed, 30 May 2012 16:11:40 GMT

Students of econometrics are familiar with the "spurious regression" problem that can arise with (non-stationary) time-series data.  As was pointed out by Granger and Newbold (1974), the “levels” of many economic time-series are integrated (or nearly so), and if these data are used in a regression model then a high value for the coefficient of determination (R2) is likely to arise, even when the series are actually independent of each other.  They also...

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