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The Correct Classic Generalized Least-Squares Estimator of an Unknown Constant Mean of Randon Field

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

The aim of the paper is to derive for the neg 599 ative correlation function with a time parameter an asymptotic disjunction of the numerical generalized least-squares estimator of an unknown constant mean of random field in fact the correct classic generalized least-squares estimator of an unknown constant mean of the field.

Optimal starting times, stopping times and risk measures for algorithmic trading

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

We derive explicit recursive formulas for b35 Target Close (TC) and Implementation Shortfall (IS) in the Almgren-Chriss framework. We explain how to compute the optimal starting and stopping times for IS and TC, respectively, given a minimum trading size. We also show how to add a minimum participation rate constraint (Percentage of Volume, PVol) for both TC and IS. We also study an alternative set of risk measures for the optimisation of algorithmic trading curves. We assume a self-similar...

Optimal High Frequency Trading in a Pro-Rata Microstructure with Predictive Information

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

ac7 We propose a framework to study optimal trading policies in a one-tick pro-rata limit order book, as typically arises in short-term interest rate futures contracts. The high-frequency trader has the choice to trade via market orders or limit orders, which are represented respectively by impulse controls and regular controls. We model and discuss the consequences of the two main features of this particular microstructure: first, the limit orders sent by the high frequency trader are only...

From Minority Game to Black & Scholes pricing

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

In this paper we study the continuum time dynamics of a stock in a market where agents behavior is modeled by a Minority Game with number of strategies for each agent S=2 and "fake" market histories. The dynamics derived is a generalized geometric Brownian motion; from the Black&Scholes formula the calibration of the Mi 660 nority Game, by means of the game parameter $ \sigma^{2}$, on the European options on DAX Index market is performed. An "$ (\alpha,\sigma^{2})$ -matrix" containing, given...

Price manipulation in a market impact model with dark pool

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

For a market impact model, price manipulation and related notions play a role that is similar to the role of arbitrage in a derivatives pricing model. Here, we give a systematic 6eb investigation into such regularity issues when orders can be executed both at a traditional exchange and in a dark pool. To this end, we focus on a class of dark-pool models whose market impact at the exchange is described by an Almgren--Chriss model. Conditions for the absence of price manipulation for all...

Universality class of balanced flows with bottlenecks: granular flows, pedestrian fluxes and financial price dynamics

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

We propose and document the evidence for an analogy between the dynamics of granular counter-flows in the presence of bottlenecks or restrictions and financial price formation processes. Using extensive simulations, we find that the counter-flows of simulated pedestrians through a door display many stylized facts observed in financial markets when the density around the door is compared with the logarithm of the price. The stylized properties are present already when the agents in the...

How Visibility and Divided Attention Constrain Social Contagion

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

How far and how fast does information spre 95e ad in social media? Researchers have recently examined a number of factors that affect information diffusion in online social networks, including: the novelty of information, users' activity levels, who they pay attention to, and how they respond to friends' recommendations. Using URLs as markers of information, we carry out a detailed study of retweeting, the primary mechanism by which information spreads on the Twitter follower graph. Our...

Stability of Boolean Multiplex Networks

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

We 7e4 extend the formalism of Random Boolean Networks with canalizing rules to multilevel complex networks. The formalism allows to model genetic networks in which each gene might take part in more than one signaling pathway. We use a semi-annealed approach to study the stability of this class of models when coupled in a multiplex network and show that the analytical results are in good agreement with numerical simulations. Our main finding is that the multiplex structure provides a mechanism...

The robustness of interdependent clustered networks

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

A system of interdependent networks was recently found to be very vulnerable since cascading failures that may lead to abrupt breakdown of the system. We develop an analytical method, based on the percolation method developed for single networks [M.E.J. Newman, Phys. Rev. Lett. {\bf 103}, 058701 (2009)], to study the effect of clustering within the networks on the robustness of the interdependent networks. We find that, in contrast to single networks where the percolation threshold, $p_c$, does...

A k-shell decomposition method for weighted networks

May 18, 2012 Comments (0)

We present a generalized method for calculating the k-shell structure of weighted networks. The method takes into ac 80b count both the weight and the degree of a network, in such a way that in the absence of weights we resume the shell structure obtained by the classic k-shell decomposition. In the presence of weights we show that the method is able to partition the network in a more refined way, without the need of any arbitrary threshold on the weight values. Furthermore, by simulating...