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Next Dates: - Introduction to QuantLib Development with Luigi Ballabio, September 2 - 4, 2013 - £1700

 

April 2012

TRANSFORM ANALYSIS FOR POINT PROCESSES AND APPLICATIONS IN CREDIT RISK

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

This paper develops a formula for a transform of a vector point process with totally inaccessible arrivals. The transform is expressed in terms of a Laplace transform under an equivalent probability measure of the point process compensator. The Laplace transform of the compensator can be calculated explicitly for a wide range of model specifications, because it is analogous to the value of a simple security. The transform formula extends the computational tractability offered by extant security...

NONCONVEXITY OF THE OPTIMAL EXERCISE BOUNDARY FOR AN AMERICAN PUT OPTION ON A DIVIDEND‐PAYING ASSET

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

We prove that when the dividend rate of the underlying asset following a geometric Brownian motion is slightly larger than the risk‐free interest rate, the optimal exercise boundary of the American put option is not convex.

PRICING CHAINED OPTIONS WITH CURVED BARRIERS

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

This paper studies barrier options which are chained together, each with payoff contingent on curved barriers. When the underlying asset price hits a primary curved barrier, a secondary barrier option is given to a primary barrier option holder. Then if the asset price hits another curved barrier, a third barrier option is given, and so on. We provide explicit price formulas for these options when two or more barrier options with exponential barriers are chained together. We then extend the...

RUNNING FOR THE EXIT: DISTRESSED SELLING AND ENDOGENOUS CORRELATION IN FINANCIAL MARKETS

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

We propose a simple multiperiod model of price impact from trading in a market with multiple assets, which illustrates how feedback effects due to distressed selling and short selling lead to endogenous correlations between asset classes. We show that distressed selling by investors exiting a fund and short selling of the fund’s positions by traders may have nonnegligible impact on the realized correlations between returns of assets held by the fund. These feedback effects may lead to positive...

FAST MONTE CARLO GREEKS FOR FINANCIAL PRODUCTS WITH DISCONTINUOUS PAY‐OFFS

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

We introduce a new class of numerical schemes for discretizing processes driven by Brownian motions. These allow the rapid computation of sensitivities of discontinuous integrals using pathwise methods even when the underlying densities postdiscretization are singular. The two new methods presented in this paper allow Greeks for financial products with trigger features to be computed in the LIBOR market model with similar speed to that obtained by using the adjoint method for continuous...

A STRUCTURAL RISK‐NEUTRAL MODEL FOR PRICING AND HEDGING POWER DERIVATIVES

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

We develop a structural risk‐neutral model for energy market modifying along several directions the approach introduced in Aïd et al. In particular, a scarcity function is introduced to allow important deviations of the spot price from the marginal fuel price, producing price spikes. We focus on pricing and hedging electricity derivatives. The hedging instruments are forward contracts on fuels and electricity. The presence of production capacities and electricity demand makes such a market...

BUY‐LOW AND SELL‐HIGH INVESTMENT STRATEGIES

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

Buy‐low and sell‐high investment strategies are a recurrent theme in the considerations of many investors. In this paper, we consider an investor who aims at maximizing the expected discounted cash‐flow that can be generated by sequentially buying and selling one share of a given asset at fixed transaction costs. We model the underlying asset price by means of a general one‐dimensional Itô diffusion X, we solve the resulting stochastic control problem in a closed analytic form, and we...

LÉVY PROCESSES INDUCED BY DIRICHLET (B‐)SPLINES: MODELING MULTIVARIATE ASSET PRICE DYNAMICS

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

We consider a new class of processes, called LG processes, defined as linear combinations of independent gamma processes. Their distributional and path‐wise properties are explored by following their relation to polynomial and Dirichlet (B‐)splines. In particular, it is shown that the density of an LG process can be expressed in terms of Dirichlet (B‐)splines, introduced independently by Ignatov and Kaishev and Karlin, Micchelli, and Rinott. We further show that the well‐known variance gamma...

STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODELS AND THE PRICING OF VIX OPTIONS

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

In this paper, we examine and compare the performance of a variety of continuous‐time volatility models in their ability to capture the behavior of the VIX. The “3/2‐ model” with a diffusion structure which allows the volatility of volatility changes to be highly sensitive to the actual level of volatility is found to outperform all other popular models tested. Analytic solutions for option prices on the VIX under the 3/2‐model are developed and then used to calibrate at‐the‐money market option...

MEAN–VARIANCE PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION WITH STATE‐DEPENDENT RISK AVERSION

April 14, 2012 Comments (0)

The objective of this paper is to study the mean–variance portfolio optimization in continuous time. Since this problem is time inconsistent we attack it by placing the problem within a game theoretic framework and look for subgame perfect Nash equilibrium strategies. This particular problem has already been studied in Basak and Chabakauri where the authors assumed a constant risk aversion parameter. This assumption leads to an equilibrium control where the dollar amount invested in the risky...