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Unfriend Those IPOs

Wed, 13 Jun 2012 01:22:47 GMT

Money Losing Ventures The downward trajectory of Facebook’s price after its Initial Public Offering (IPO) wasn't a great shock.  Perhaps the bigger surprise is how many column inches have been spent analysing a story that can be summarized as “high price, low earnings, uncertain future”.  Sentiment is a powerful driver of stock prices, but only when there’s money around to back it up. In fact IPO’s do seem to be generally subject to overpricing, which isn’t as obvious a trend as you might expect, given that owners tend to retain large stakes and to look for ways of retaining control of their precious creations.  For most retail investors, though, IPO’s are probably best avoided on principle.  The principle being not losing money. Winner's Curses As we saw in Are IPO’s Bitter Lemons?, the research has tended to suggest that IPO’s are, if anything, underpriced.  There are a bunch of reasons for this, none of them particularly positive.  One...

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