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Publication Name: The Aleph Blog

Brief description: Helping Institutions and Ordinary People Invest Better by Focusing on Risk Control

RSS Feed: link

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Owner Name: David J. Merkel

Joined: August 20th, 2011

Activity

The Aleph Blog wrote a new blog post titled The Doubling Rule

Picture Credit: Vincent Brown || Einstein never said this, either…=======================If you are famous and dead, many people will attribute clever sayings to you that you never said.  As Yogi Berra said: I really didn’t say everything I said.Except that Yogi did say that.  Now, if Einstein didn’t do enough for us, he supposedly made many statements praising compound interest, but the articles I have seen haven’t been able to trace it back to an original source.  Personally, I think compound interest is overrated, because business processes can’t forever compound...
(3 days ago)

The Aleph Blog wrote a new blog post titled Redacted Version of the June 2017 FOMC Statement

Photo Credit: Craig Hatfield May 2017June 2017CommentsInformation received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in March indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen even as growth in economic activity slowed.Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in May indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising moderately so far this year.Shades GDP upJob gains were solid, on average, in recent months, and the unemployment rate declined.Job gains have moderated but have been solid, on average,...
(10 days ago)

The Aleph Blog wrote a new blog post titled Why Social Security Should not be Invested in the Stock Market

Photo Credit: Cameron Daigle======================================Stocks always return more than Treasury Bonds.  So why doesn’t Social Security invest the trust funds in stocks rather than Treasury bonds?The first reason is simple.  The government wanted Social Security to be free from accusations of favoritism.  Why should public businesses have access to government capital, when private capital doesn’t have that same advantage?  The second reason is also simple: do we want the government to be an owner of a large percentage of the businesses of the country?  Do you want the...
(11 days ago)

About:

David J. Merkel, CFA, FSA — 2010-present, I am working on setting up my own equity asset management shop, tentatively called Aleph Investments.  It is possible that I might do a joint venture with someone else if we can do more together than separately.

From 2008-2010, I was the Chief Economist and Director of Research of Finacorp Securities.  I did a many things for Finacorp, mainly research and analysis on a wide variety of fixed income and equity securities, and trading strategies.

Until 2007, I was a senior investment analyst at Hovde Capital, responsible for analysis and valuation of investment opportunities for the FIP funds, particularly of companies in the insurance industry. I also managed the internal profit sharing and charitable endowment monies of the firm.

From 2003-2007, I was a leading commentator at the investment website RealMoney.com.  Back in 2003, after several years of correspondence, James Cramer invited me to write for the site, and I wrote for RealMoney on equity and bond portfolio management, macroeconomics, derivatives, quantitative strategies, insurance issues, corporate governance, etc. My specialty is looking at the interlinkages in the markets in order to understand individual markets better.  I no longer contribute to RealMoney; I scaled it back because my work duties have gotten larger, and I began this blog to develop a distinct voice with a wider distribution.  After three-plus year of operation, I believe I have achieved that.

Prior to joining Hovde in 2003, I managed corporate bonds for Dwight Asset Management. In 1998, I joined the Mount Washington Investment Group as the Mortgage Bond and Asset Liability manager after working with Provident Mutual, AIG and Pacific Standard Life.

My background as a life actuary has given me a different perspective on investing. How do you earn money without taking undue risk? How do you convey ideas about investing while showing a proper level of uncertainty on the likelihood of success? How do the various markets fit together, telling us us a broader story than any single piece? These are the themes that I will deal with in this blog.

I hold bachelor’s and master’s degrees from Johns Hopkins University. In my spare time, I take care of our eight children with my wonderful wife Ruth.

Blog Objectives

My objectives in this blog are relatively simple:

  • To further flesh out my thoughts from RealMoney, and provide for a greater degree of interaction with readers there.
  • To interact more broadly with the blogosphere, adding my own distinct ideas to the mix.
  • To develop an investment management shop. Initially, this would be institutional money management on a “long only” and hedged basis. Eventually, I would create a mutual fund so that smaller retail investors can invest with me. I would try to buy up a failed mutual fund shell, allowing a way in that is cheaper, and providing tax-sheltered gains to early investors. But all of this is a dream that might not be realized. Until then, I can tell you about managers who manage money in a way similar to mine.
  • All of these goals rely on the help of Jesus Christ and my readers. I thank you for taking the time to read what I write.